As a firm example pre call reports released the day of the call: if they feature a certain strike multiple times the odds of them saying it in prepared remarks are in the high 90 percentile.
Primarily analyst commentary/report , IR presentations and documents, primary company (controlled) social media trends. It isn't our entire basis but helps us come to a fair value price.
> Holiday (-81¢) was our biggest miss - Nike’s Q2 call was the holiday quarter
At first glance this makes sense for Nike to talk about in their report, but frankly it also sounded "late" to be talking about it April 2026. That is a hard one to process. Did not play this term for those reasons.
> Dividend (-43¢) hurts less because our research actually identified the risk. We sized down instead of flipping to a full PASS or even YES. Going with the gut here, YES contracts would’ve been more appropriate given NKE -3.35%↓ existential share price retreat.
This is a great one. Most times (at least on social media) a steep drop in share price quarter after quarter (like $NKE) always brings about talk of the "existential threat to the dividend", and management most usually bring this term up in the report to calm investors ($PFE, $PYPL, so many names).
Solid take, I'm hoping I can work into the model 'fundamental sensitive' words and apply scoring based on where their share price is at. My line of thinking better earnings beat = more fluff words. Bad earnings = less fluff, and more technical balance sheet related words.
What sources do you look for in social layer ?
As a firm example pre call reports released the day of the call: if they feature a certain strike multiple times the odds of them saying it in prepared remarks are in the high 90 percentile.
Thanks for the insights
Primarily analyst commentary/report , IR presentations and documents, primary company (controlled) social media trends. It isn't our entire basis but helps us come to a fair value price.
> Holiday (-81¢) was our biggest miss - Nike’s Q2 call was the holiday quarter
At first glance this makes sense for Nike to talk about in their report, but frankly it also sounded "late" to be talking about it April 2026. That is a hard one to process. Did not play this term for those reasons.
> Dividend (-43¢) hurts less because our research actually identified the risk. We sized down instead of flipping to a full PASS or even YES. Going with the gut here, YES contracts would’ve been more appropriate given NKE -3.35%↓ existential share price retreat.
This is a great one. Most times (at least on social media) a steep drop in share price quarter after quarter (like $NKE) always brings about talk of the "existential threat to the dividend", and management most usually bring this term up in the report to calm investors ($PFE, $PYPL, so many names).
Solid take, I'm hoping I can work into the model 'fundamental sensitive' words and apply scoring based on where their share price is at. My line of thinking better earnings beat = more fluff words. Bad earnings = less fluff, and more technical balance sheet related words.
Thanks for the technical write up too friend!
This was a big win for me, and I made some serious coin. Thank you as always for the work