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We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.
The new model combines historical frequency data with AI narrative analysis to find mispriced Kalshi contracts. Here's how it performed.
 • First Strike
Mispriced Domino’s Mention Contract: Kalshi Traders Haven’t Ordered This Yet!
Why we believe this buzzword is 'baked' into the call!
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After Trade Review, and Earnings Mention Market Thoughts
In light of our rapidly growing subscriber base, we’re starting this week out with a free article containing an after trade review; and thoughts going…
 • First Strike
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Snapchat just expanded their Family Center, will they talk about it? We don't think so.
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How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar
A trade review and special thank you to our subscribers!
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A Tale of Two Markets: One Followed the Rules, One Rewrote Them
The "Decentralized" Prediction Market Just Picked Winners and Losers Manually.
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Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Condiment Bar
Our machine learning model was right to flag this. It was also too conservative.
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First Strike Research
First Strike Research
We specialize in market intelligence providing research across various asset classes, and positions; subscribe now to get weekly mispricing alerts delivered right to you!
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