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A Tale of Two Markets: One Followed the Rules, One Rewrote Them
The "Decentralized" Prediction Market Just Picked Winners and Losers Manually.
 • First Strike
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Condiment Bar
Our machine learning model was right to flag this. It was also too conservative.
 • First Strike
Christopher Waller for Fed Chair?
If Trump wants lower rates and Fed credibility, all roads lead to Waller.
 • First Strike
Trouble in Kalshi-Rules Town
When "Warner Brothers" isn't "Warner Bros" and why it's important to read the rules!
 • First Strike
Guilty Pleas & PIK Interest: Is MRCC Ignoring Reality at Shareholders’ Expense?
Phantom income, ‘empty shell’ entities, and a dividend feedback loop: How a zombie asset is haunting MRCC’s balance sheet.
 • First Strike
Monroe’s Tower of Glass: Dividend Cuts, Rising Overhead, and MV Realty Allegations Facing MRCC Shareholders
A First Strike investigation into how Monroe Capital’s office move, higher occupancy costs, and exposure to MV Realty litigation may be reshaping MRCC’s…
 • First Strike
Inside Kalshi: How America’s First Regulated Prediction Market Works Under the Hood
From CFTC Approval to Election Night: The Complete Guide to Event Contract Trading. And, How the Government Will Struggle to regulate.
 • First Strike
First Strike Research
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