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How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar
A trade review and special thank you to our subscribers!
Jan 29
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First Strike
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A Tale of Two Markets: One Followed the Rules, One Rewrote Them
The "Decentralized" Prediction Market Just Picked Winners and Losers Manually.
Jan 25
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Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Condiment Bar
Our machine learning model was right to flag this. It was also too conservative.
Jan 23
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First Strike
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Christopher Waller for Fed Chair?
If Trump wants lower rates and Fed credibility, all roads lead to Waller.
Jan 22
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First Strike
Trouble in Kalshi-Rules Town
When "Warner Brothers" isn't "Warner Bros" and why it's important to read the rules!
Jan 20
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Guilty Pleas & PIK Interest: Is MRCC Ignoring Reality at Shareholders’ Expense?
Phantom income, ‘empty shell’ entities, and a dividend feedback loop: How a zombie asset is haunting MRCC’s balance sheet.
Jan 13
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Monroe’s Tower of Glass: Dividend Cuts, Rising Overhead, and MV Realty Allegations Facing MRCC Shareholders
A First Strike investigation into how Monroe Capital’s office move, higher occupancy costs, and exposure to MV Realty litigation may be reshaping MRCC’s…
Jan 12
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December 2025
Inside Kalshi: How America’s First Regulated Prediction Market Works Under the Hood
From CFTC Approval to Election Night: The Complete Guide to Event Contract Trading. And, How the Government Will Struggle to regulate.
Dec 29, 2025
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Mastering Event Contracts: Finding Alpha on this New Frontier.
You have a unique chance to be a cash pioneer trading event contracts.
Dec 15, 2025
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First Strike
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This Titan of a Company is at a Bargain‑Bin Price
From a high of $634.76 in February 2024 to a rout of $345 this stock has clear upside potential.
Dec 5, 2025
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First Strike
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Disaster Recovery Ignored: How CME Let a ‘Cooling Glitch’ Freeze Global Markets
A single data center ‘cooling issue’ took the world’s largest derivatives exchange offline for nearly 10 hours—blowing past CME’s own 2-hour Policy.
Dec 1, 2025
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November 2025
The Modern Financial Treadmill: Everyone Is Running on Empty
When everyone is trying to keep up with the Joneses this is what you're left with.
Nov 26, 2025
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First Strike
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