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Apple Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis
Why Apple is one of the most disciplined call operators, and what Tim Cook's departure from CEO means for the call.
Apr 28
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First Strike Research
5
1
Trading Zyn US Shipment Q1 Volume on Kalshi
Four doomsday scenarios have to be true at once for the market’s bear case.
Apr 20
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First Strike Research
7
1
Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial
We’re coming off a big win on Nike’s earning call. The Truist strikes are new for our machine learning model, and our first analysis of a bank.
Apr 14
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First Strike Research
1
The CFTC Is Regulating Event Markets Alone. We Filed Five Proposals to Help.
And, the exam that licenses prediction market professionals has ZERO questions about prediction markets.
Apr 10
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First Strike Research
7
4
It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)
Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call.
Apr 1
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First Strike Research
12
8
5
March 2026
Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.
We combine ML probability modeling with transcript research, product launch tracking, and analyst sentiment to find the contracts the market hasn't…
Mar 29
12
1
3
We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.
The new model combines historical frequency data with AI narrative analysis to find mispriced Kalshi contracts. Here's how it performed.
Mar 7
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First Strike Research
4
2
1
February 2026
Mispriced Domino’s Mention Contract: Kalshi Traders Haven’t Ordered This Yet!
Why we believe this buzzword is 'baked' into the call!
Feb 22
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First Strike Research
7
5
After Trade Review, and Earnings Mention Market Thoughts
In light of our rapidly growing subscriber base, we’re starting this week out with a free article containing an after trade review; and thoughts going…
Feb 10
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First Strike Research
7
1
4
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Snapchat just expanded their Family Center, will they talk about it? We don't think so.
Feb 2
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First Strike Research
7
1
2
CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis
The largest IT outage in history, an SEC/DOJ investigation, and a renewal cliff the market hasn't priced into Wall Street's most expensive cybersecurity…
Feb 1
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First Strike Research
13
7
3
January 2026
How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar
A trade review and special thank you to our subscribers!
Jan 29
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First Strike Research
10
2
7
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